Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1993cda61139fc0ea9fedae7ff7e05427cd934c2432ced79a5194400164d6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Team Lynx, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 5,645$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.91 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Lynx | 72c | 5,110$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.12 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 3,884$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 3,767$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.92 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 3,107$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.65 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 65c | 2,783$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.46 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 2,336$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.23 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 69c | 2,138$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.07 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Team Lynx | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Team Lynx | 40c | 1,902$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 1,886$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 1,862$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.82 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 1,443$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.67 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed Team Lynx | 64c | 1,414$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 1,345$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.45 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 1,265$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.55 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 1,079$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.13 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 1,060$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Lynx | 73c | 994.07$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.49 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 852.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.14 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Lynx | 36c | 838$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 826.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 67c | 671.21$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 568.87$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team Lynx | 59c | 530.62$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.06 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Lynx | 65c | 528.31$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 524.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.55 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 490.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 439.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 431$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 421.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Lynx | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Team Lynx | 59c | 389.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Lynx | 55c | 350.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 341.92$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 339.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 337$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 331.31$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 330.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Team Lynx | 25c | 320.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx | 11c | 305$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx | 9c | 304.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 255.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 237.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Team Lynx | 41c | 237.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 193.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 191.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Lynx | 65c | 189.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 180.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 177.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 167.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 158.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 153.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Team Lynx | 41c | 143.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 141.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 140.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Lynx | 65c | 135.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 130.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 127.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Team Lynx | 42c | 122.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…c617backed Team Lynx | 41c | 117.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 113.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 107.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 99.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Lynx | 48c | 80.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 79.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Lynx | 60c | 79.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 78.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 76.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 76.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Team Lynx | 66c | 69.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 60.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed Team Lynx | 38c | 59.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 58.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 57.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Team Lynx | 54c | 57.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Team Lynx | 44c | 57.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Team Lynx | 63c | 56.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…6584backed Team Lynx | 66c | 54.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Team Lynx | 54c | 53.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Lynx | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Team Lynx | 34c | 42.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Team Lynx | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 38.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Team Lynx | 46c | 37.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 35.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 32.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Team Lynx | 34c | 31.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Team Lynx | 57c | 29.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 29.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 29.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Team Lynx | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Lynx | 64c | 22.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.