CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03ddc2d39acac956058c670bc4c72d4f57e3c159eac9c1bafc07a894fa9e9224

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raccoonsof Raccoons, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bcd…0a69backed Fire Flux Esports	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.98	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Raccoons	60c	1,222$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.99	358	47.5%170 W · 188 L	-13.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Raccoons	54c	1,110$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.58	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Raccoons	54c	1,000$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.5	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Fire Flux Esports	44c	999.94$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.98	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Raccoons	52c	906.03$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.28	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Fire Flux Esports	37c	801.2$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.48	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Fire Flux Esports	47c	536.19$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.01	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Raccoons	58c	438.52$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.9	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Fire Flux Esports	58c	395.86$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.83	274	38.3%105 W · 169 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports	51c	390.49$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.6	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports	49c	380.75$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.38	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Raccoons	56c	334.16$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.19	673	72.2%486 W · 187 L	+119.1wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Fire Flux Esports	60c	326.16$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.72	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Fire Flux Esports	54c	313.24$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.09	301	53.8%162 W · 139 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Raccoons	50c	308.2$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.9	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Raccoons	50c	260.88$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.42	388	44.3%172 W · 216 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Raccoons	38c	210.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.97	1,043	57.3%598 W · 445 L	+17.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Raccoons	59c	200.22$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.09	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Fire Flux Esports	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Raccoons	35c	199.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.99	194	43.3%84 W · 110 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Fire Flux Esports	46c	176.29$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.52	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3d34…e654backed Raccoons	58c	136$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.12	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Raccoons	60c	129$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.96	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bb…a7d5backed Fire Flux Esports	47c	121.7$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Raccoons	40c	119.53$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.91	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Raccoons	52c	113.82$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.63	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Raccoons	58c	110.41$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.14	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Fire Flux Esports	45c	108.4$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	90	34.4%31 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Raccoons	48c	105$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	153	46.4%71 W · 82 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fire Flux Esports	51c	92.32$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Raccoons	46c	88$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.42	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Fire Flux Esports	59c	84.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	158	23.4%37 W · 121 L	-18.0wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Raccoons	54c	82.98$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.17	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fire Flux Esports	28c	75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Raccoons	51c	71$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.88	457	48.1%220 W · 237 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed Raccoons	47c	54.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Fire Flux Esports	59c	50.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	132	54.5%72 W · 60 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked Fire Flux Esports	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed Fire Flux Esports	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	87	58.6%51 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports	37c	48.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	1,068	55%587 W · 481 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Raccoons	57c	48$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.53	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports	48c	44.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Raccoons	47c	41.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.29	390	38.5%150 W · 240 L	-17.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Raccoons	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports	45c	29.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports	50c	27.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13f…343fbacked Raccoons	53c	26.36$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.36	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-3.2wins	-0.26per pick	68cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raccoons	52c	24.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c1…bdc4backed Raccoons	59c	20.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bc…1909backed Fire Flux Esports	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.7wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb06d…ac2abacked Raccoons	59c	19.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88f…434dbacked Raccoons	66c	18.18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…9fa1backed Raccoons	64c	17.62$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.37	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Raccoons	68c	15.62$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InRaccoons won
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerRaccoons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event