TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb06d…ac2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.6
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkietabacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.87
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.83
Set 1 Winner: Gentzsch vs Dahlinbacked Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Vancouver: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.23
Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.23
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Andre Ilaganbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.68
Troyes: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$5.33
Troyes: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.05
Brasov: Luka Pavlovic vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.71
Quito: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.6
Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Brasov: Luka Pavlovic vs Akira Santillanbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.47
Brescia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Elena Ruxandra Berteabacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Parma: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passarobacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$6.97
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$80.65
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$8.01
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.76
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.25
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+65%+$8.29
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.25
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$7.77
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.65
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.23
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Arneb (BO5) - LJL Playoffsbacked L Guide Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.87
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.76
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.97
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.92
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 Winnerbacked BALU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.7
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Raccoons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.85
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.65
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.84
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked SportsBetExpert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.97
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.47
Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.48
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.23
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.13
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.8
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.65
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.11
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.