TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Arneb (BO5) - LJL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L Guide Gamingof L Guide Gaming, Arneb
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba43…c6c0backed L Guide Gaming48c3,357$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.6717648.3%85 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Arneb52c2,757$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.297143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed L Guide Gaming56c2,183$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.062,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed L Guide Gaming53c1,262$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.0242348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0103…5ca8backed L Guide Gaming57c1,238$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.797162%44 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Arneb40c1,063$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.253047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Arneb56c1,040$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.441,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Arneb31c849.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.991,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Arneb48c827.36$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3288949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Arneb24c814.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0669259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Arneb40c750.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029748.1%143 W · 154 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Arneb47c670.53$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.031,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed L Guide Gaming59c645.74$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.755045.3%249 W · 301 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Arneb48c597.61$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2888047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Arneb47c464.26$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0997744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked L Guide Gaming53c334.49$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Arneb31c327.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018247.3%86 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed L Guide Gaming61c307.43$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4346946.7%219 W · 250 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked L Guide Gaming59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Arneb48c291.48$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arneb49c284.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.772,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed L Guide Gaming49c228$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5312243.4%53 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Arneb47c221$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.791,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked L Guide Gaming49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10240916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Arneb44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9928558.6%167 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked L Guide Gaming56c190.65$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.851,08239.5%427 W · 655 L-78.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Arneb31c182.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.533,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Arneb43c180.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.044551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Arneb27c176.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.359435.1%33 W · 61 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked L Guide Gaming63c175.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.12,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked L Guide Gaming59c170.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1922667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed Arneb43c166.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7116142.2%68 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed L Guide Gaming65c155.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5728240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Arneb39c148.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7318047.2%85 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed L Guide Gaming80c141.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.612437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed L Guide Gaming60c132.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Arneb45c132.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Arneb45c126.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7325555.7%142 W · 113 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed Arneb52c116.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked L Guide Gaming63c108.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed L Guide Gaming75c107.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.342,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked L Guide Gaming60c106.15$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.840231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed L Guide Gaming78c105$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2318061.1%110 W · 70 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed L Guide Gaming77c104.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Arneb39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5953829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Arneb52c98.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2153543.4%232 W · 303 L+33.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked L Guide Gaming36c82.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.121,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Arneb38c80.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7938931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Arneb64c77.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Arneb28c69.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed L Guide Gaming53c66.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3351044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed L Guide Gaming56c64.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1326154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed L Guide Gaming32c61.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3154932.4%178 W · 371 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed L Guide Gaming66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.412746.5%59 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd954…e3d5backed L Guide Gaming78c58.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.611070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arneb43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.982,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed L Guide Gaming35c57.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6420136.3%73 W · 128 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed L Guide Gaming35c57.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Arneb49c56.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0818648.9%91 W · 95 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Arneb25c55.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Arneb43c53.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2624251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed Arneb35c52.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked L Guide Gaming57c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Arneb49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523362.7%146 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Arneb62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025660.5%155 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Arneb42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209558.9%56 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked L Guide Gaming56c45.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8152149.9%260 W · 261 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd5…e5e7backed L Guide Gaming51c44.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed Arneb46c42.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.367346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed L Guide Gaming50c40.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2065725.9%170 W · 487 L-93.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Arneb46c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19bb…9100backed Arneb50c39.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.724146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b0…ce7cbacked Arneb51c38.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed L Guide Gaming79c38.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0611253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed L Guide Gaming56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7154545.7%249 W · 296 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944b…754fbacked L Guide Gaming73c34.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked L Guide Gaming36c32.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9912335.8%44 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed L Guide Gaming59c31.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0529238.7%113 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…7bdfbacked Arneb40c31.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Arneb46c30.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411931.9%38 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Arneb35c28.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030743%132 W · 175 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed L Guide Gaming70c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.456523.1%15 W · 50 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Arneb51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810746.7%50 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked L Guide Gaming47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked L Guide Gaming48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6511738.5%45 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5edf…7139backed L Guide Gaming58c25.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.998100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6987…846bbacked L Guide Gaming78c25.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.737367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed L Guide Gaming41c24.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.558042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked L Guide Gaming62c24.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.217041.4%29 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06d…ac2abacked L Guide Gaming52c20.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…9fa1backed L Guide Gaming52c20.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852576%19 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed Arneb58c20.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed L Guide Gaming79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed L Guide Gaming59c17.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9721953.9%118 W · 101 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…7a5dbacked Arneb70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.