CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b0ee5ac45491f974659a95a4a791a5d783b9450859eae8486e5fe755ef9167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof NRG, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne | 56c | 5,733$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.89 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked NRG | 51c | 4,208$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.83 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NRG | 53c | 3,300$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked NRG | 40c | 2,623$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.59 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Marsborne | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.42 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Marsborne | 30c | 972$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.64 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Marsborne | 51c | 901.6$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed NRG | 17c | 837.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Marsborne | 50c | 755.82$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Marsborne | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Marsborne | 58c | 633.89$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 30c | 567.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG | 69c | 551.33$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.14 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed NRG | 9c | 499$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Marsborne | 58c | 482.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 57c | 466.71$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Marsborne | 30c | 452.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.43 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Marsborne | 59c | 432.57$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG | 42c | 426.34$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Marsborne | 28c | 421.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.77 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NRG | 71c | 406.38$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…e030backed NRG | 61c | 390$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed NRG | 71c | 314.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG | 40c | 289.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed NRG | 35c | 265$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 24c | 216.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed NRG | 42c | 202.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG | 51c | 200.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Marsborne | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 17c | 162.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marsborne | 42c | 155$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed NRG | 37c | 135.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Marsborne | 50c | 126.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed NRG | 35c | 114.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NRG | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Marsborne | 56c | 107.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed NRG | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 22c | 100.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Marsborne | 45c | 98.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked NRG | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked NRG | 21c | 87.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Marsborne | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Marsborne | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marsborne | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Marsborne | 55c | 70.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marsborne | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Marsborne | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 52c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed NRG | 31c | 58.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Marsborne | 56c | 56.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked NRG | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NRG | 71c | 50.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NRG | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed NRG | 53c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 37c | 43.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked NRG | 42c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…1152backed Marsborne | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NRG | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…ac2abacked NRG | 50c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed NRG | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Marsborne | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)Marsborne won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.