CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af8f6e63d65d736b628980ef29cfb329c32e6deaa24a5e0a2140981cff64641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 64c | 1,719$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Over | 36c | 1,163$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 936.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Over | 36c | 528.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.52 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Over | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 325.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 259.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 36c | 245.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 35c | 185.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 37c | 144$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 36c | 112$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 36c | 102.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked Over | 36c | 101$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 36c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 33c | 84.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 65.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 65c | 48.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 67c | 32.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 65c | 27.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 64c | 25.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 64c | 23.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)Marsborne won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.