Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Luka Pavlovic vs Akira Santillan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b33a1aab5d015d34e3cf98b9704a7d204e4d5f1d1dfcb833a8a276b6b2ea342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Akira Santillan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Akira Santillan | 12c | 232.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Akira Santillan | 27c | 193.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan | 31c | 161.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Akira Santillan | 19c | 107.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Luka Pavlovic | 69c | 104.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Akira Santillan | 23c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Akira Santillan | 16c | 98.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Akira Santillan | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Akira Santillan | 31c | 67.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Luka Pavlovic | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 53.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 49.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Akira Santillan | 27c | 45.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 69c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luka Pavlovic | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…ac2abacked Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Luka Pavlovic | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 15.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.