MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea15cab9ea12ef28d076215969375a7be059f78c948a34bb5ea38d4ff2d2cb7c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Mets, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $638,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $614,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,016 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians	42c	56,145$23,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,415.81	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	46c	44,802$20,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,368.61	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians	35c	29,995$10,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,499.43	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets	60c	25,573$15,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,150.62	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians	52c	24,841$12,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,836.23	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed New York Mets	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians	52c	12,697$6,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,602.48	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians	60c	12,349$7,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,381.82	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets	48c	9,993$4,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,196.22	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	49c	9,174$4,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,719.87	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed New York Mets	49c	8,150$4,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,142.33	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets	40c	8,111$3,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,904.5	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed New York Mets	75c	7,460$5,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.34	182	48.4%88 W · 94 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Cleveland Guardians	54c	7,105$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,805.53	212	42%89 W · 123 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	26c	6,759$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,023.7	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets	45c	6,375$2,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,479.08	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians	54c	6,356$3,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,444.52	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians	49c	4,175$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025.25	254	47.6%121 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians	54c	3,704$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	41c	3,672$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,176.56	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Cleveland Guardians	42c	3,577$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.63	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets	49c	3,500$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafc…e4c4backed Cleveland Guardians	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians	47c	3,208$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.61	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets	49c	3,146$1,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,613.65	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	275	52.4%144 W · 131 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed New York Mets	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bb4…87b5backed New York Mets	65c	2,627$1,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.27	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets	55c	2,551$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.31	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets	49c	2,354$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.31	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians	49c	2,316$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.7	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Cleveland Guardians	65c	2,308$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cleveland Guardians	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked New York Mets	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	171	50.3%86 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Cleveland Guardians	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.95	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians	41c	2,000$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.25	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets	68c	1,961$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.74	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	32c	1,862$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.58	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cleveland Guardians	46c	1,834$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.89	242	52.9%128 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets	48c	1,740$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.58	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Mets	48c	1,722$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.67	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians	37c	1,712$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets	44c	1,629$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.64	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed New York Mets	74c	1,560$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.04	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians	51c	1,388$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.33	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Cleveland Guardians	17c	1,196$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Cleveland Guardians	52c	1,154$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians	51c	1,109$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.24	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians	45c	1,105$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.27	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked New York Mets	72c	1,100$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Cleveland Guardians	58c	1,014$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.78	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked New York Mets	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1237…e11cbacked Cleveland Guardians	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked New York Mets	5c	1,000$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked New York Mets	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	290	46.6%135 W · 155 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Cleveland Guardians	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…0517backed Cleveland Guardians	51c	981$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.31	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b31…3e10backed Cleveland Guardians	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2591…0f87backed New York Mets	58c	955.47$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.3	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians	58c	899.02$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.41	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked New York Mets	41c	874.98$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.19	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	-13.1wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Cleveland Guardians	35c	852.83$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets	50c	819$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.5	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked New York Mets	21c	810.64$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.4	305	29.8%91 W · 214 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets	48c	799$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.48	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed New York Mets	69c	776.41$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.4	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians	59c	725.67$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.18	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed New York Mets	4c	699.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.99	69	7.2%5 W · 64 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+122.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Mets	48c	683.78$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.83	487	51.5%251 W · 236 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians	71c	674.01$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.75	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed New York Mets	10c	666$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.4	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Cleveland Guardians	61c	655$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.55	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Cleveland Guardians	29c	596.18$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.89	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed New York Mets	50c	594.63$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.63	488	51.6%252 W · 236 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Cleveland Guardians	64c	593.75$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Cleveland Guardians	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Cleveland Guardians	52c	557.94$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.13	212	48.1%102 W · 110 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Mets	64c	547.29$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.63	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets	64c	545$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.55	520	53.8%280 W · 240 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Cleveland Guardians	55c	525.65$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.82	440	58.9%259 W · 181 L	+29.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians	50c	519$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.5	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians	40c	510.99$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.4	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked New York Mets	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed New York Mets	21c	476.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets	45c	427.87$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed New York Mets	4c	417.87$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.16	57	7%4 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+83%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed New York Mets	39c	402.89$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.19	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+4.6wins	+0.35per pick	42cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians	34c	400.81$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.41	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed New York Mets	57c	384.82$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.86	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cleveland Guardians	48c	365.09$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.77	587	46%270 W · 317 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians	47c	361.36$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.82	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Cleveland Guardians	44c	350.39$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	469	49.9%234 W · 235 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed New York Mets	56c	350$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked New York Mets	73c	341.1$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.1	39	76.9%30 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	62cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed New York Mets	52c	332.33$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.67	536	55.8%299 W · 237 L	+22.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event