MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6006b1b9c97594c608df642e8e2ad7c4ed2caddc9c04fa14fba4cff8337eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 77,777$38,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,352.98 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 51c | 67,326$34,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,162.98 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…dd41backed Over | 51c | 60,910$31,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,845.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 49c | 22,222$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.78 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 10,077$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.74 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 6,384$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 50c | 5,504$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.91 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 2,688$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.28 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,610$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,498$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 1,661$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,522$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 1,498$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 1,297$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 51c | 1,170$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.81 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 23c | 510$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 502.68$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.26 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 9c | 303$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 79c | 222.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 54c | 200.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 53c | 184.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 45c | 145.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 54c | 140.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 50c | 125.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 46c | 122.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 46c | 105.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 47c | 98.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 50c | 97.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 53c | 94.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 81.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 78.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 51c | 73.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 57c | 72.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 35c | 71.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 33c | 68.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 55c | 67.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 30c | 63.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 57c | 62.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 60.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 55c | 59.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 50c | 56.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 51.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Under | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 50.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 44c | 47.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…0cd6backed Under | 50c | 47.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 46.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 44.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 33c | 38.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 55c | 37.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 55c | 37.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 55c | 37.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 53c | 36.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 50c | 36.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 34.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 46c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 53c | 30.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Over | 53c | 24.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 54c | 23.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 55c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 50c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 61c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.