CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd1c87352fef8598a712a23f4292ae258f8417c2ac58d983cb70520472e6d411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raccoonsof Raccoons, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 1,222$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.18 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Raccoons | 54c | 771.5$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Raccoons | 72c | 584.6$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Raccoons | 73c | 516.45$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 504.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 486.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Raccoons | 63c | 451.85$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Raccoons | 68c | 361.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Raccoons | 65c | 357.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 320$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Raccoons | 76c | 281.58$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Raccoons | 72c | 258.78$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Raccoons | 55c | 254.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 46c | 209$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Raccoons | 78c | 170.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 167.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 145$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports | 19c | 112.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Fire Flux Esports | 18c | 105.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…d3b5backed Fire Flux Esports | 14c | 82.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 69.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 69.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Raccoons | 70c | 56.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Raccoons | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Raccoons | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 30.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 27.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 25.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Raccoons | 64c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88f…434dbacked Raccoons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InRaccoons won
- Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerRaccoons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.