Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd701a79ee2302e34ba1448af685083cd4f3e89eb8be4ec5b5d84d301957d0337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed No | 64c | 1,767$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.3 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 705.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 563.21$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.11 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 61c | 562.42$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 8c | 424.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 362$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 356.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 36c | 300.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 298.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 37c | 263$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 30c | 257.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 243.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 214.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 39c | 205$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 202.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 188.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 181$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 42c | 180.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 59c | 164.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 160.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 79c | 156.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 42c | 155.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 74c | 144.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 19c | 141.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 31c | 130.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 41c | 121.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 119.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 36c | 116.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…67b6backed Yes | 43c | 114.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 73c | 111.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 41c | 109.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 41c | 108.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 47c | 105.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 102.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 100.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 68c | 98.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 57c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…cbc4backed No | 56c | 94.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 52c | 91.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 57c | 89.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 88.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 85.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 73c | 82.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 40c | 82.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4323…f818backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 44c | 78.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 43c | 78.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 74.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…4526backed No | 19c | 73.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 39c | 66.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 80c | 63.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 55c | 57.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 55.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 42c | 49.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…9145backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 79c | 44.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 75c | 41.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 45c | 37.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 45c | 37.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 43c | 37.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 43c | 36.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…6c51backed Yes | 39c | 34.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 42c | 33.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 54c | 30.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 50c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 54c | 27.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed No | 62c | 25.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8317backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…647bbacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 54c | 24.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 52c | 24.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 65c | 23.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 59c | 22.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.