Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf011a8eaf5800d8426929af2d114a33f329f9c14923ef1d2da12b0091b4260d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 3,622$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.01 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 45c | 520.88$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 55c | 495.14$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…4526backed Yes | 7c | 463.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 51c | 382.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.43 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 48c | 372.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 55c | 362.61$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 19c | 317.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 312.02$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 289.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 258.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 243.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 42c | 217.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 50c | 207.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 50c | 206.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 204.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 23c | 202.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 43c | 199.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 46c | 180.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 165$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked No | 55c | 163.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…fc71backed No | 68c | 157.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 47c | 156.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 69c | 144.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…cbc4backed No | 50c | 143.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 139.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed No | 47c | 135.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 63c | 131.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 128.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 53c | 112.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 51c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 49c | 110.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…7cc3backed No | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 74c | 92.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 91.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 42c | 89.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 46c | 87.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 15c | 81.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 78.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 79c | 75.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 75.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 56c | 68.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…aac9backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 51c | 55.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae7…2b0dbacked Yes | 50c | 54.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 35c | 51.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…2a1bbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 49.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 48.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 25c | 47.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…6060backed No | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 28c | 46.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 44c | 46.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 51c | 42.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 55c | 41.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Yes | 37c | 40.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 42c | 40.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 60c | 36.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 52c | 33.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 50c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 52c | 26.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 54c | 24.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 60c | 24.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 49c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 52c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee66…b679backed No | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…06c9backed Yes | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.