Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df5459e17246ac5cc41995d8a7b57d64c67ca5b53e4f3c6c68f5d8c06b2d085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 7,969$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 31c | 6,485$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 69c | 4,908$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 28c | 1,594$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 1,118$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.03 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 599.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 467.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 308.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 23c | 298.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 127.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 71c | 96.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 86.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 73c | 64.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 46.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed No | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 71c | 33.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 31.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 71c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 70c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 71c | 26.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 70c | 24.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 80c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.