Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fa404ec1747da79337d07737eec3abc8a15b3185bd7ed1005619f4943377e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 54c | 609.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.35 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 475.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 41c | 303.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 54c | 288.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…169dbacked No | 50c | 231.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 218.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 43c | 144.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…00c1backed Yes | 52c | 125.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 117.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Yes | 73c | 108.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…60fcbacked No | 67c | 108.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 41c | 101.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…9762backed No | 54c | 101.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 68c | 101.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 50c | 101.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 34c | 98.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…85e9backed No | 59c | 85.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 74.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 60c | 73.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 73.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 42c | 71.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 69.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 50c | 64.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 59c | 63.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 50c | 62.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 61.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 48c | 55.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 60c | 53.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 43c | 51.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 53c | 50.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 50.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 43c | 47.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…1f06backed Yes | 45c | 42.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 40c | 42.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 42c | 41.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…7f0fbacked Yes | 45c | 41.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 49c | 37.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 47c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b7bfbacked No | 56c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…63bebacked No | 54c | 35.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…42f2backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 49c | 33.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 31.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 50c | 30.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 57c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…612fbacked No | 72c | 30.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…1a0ebacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 57c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 55c | 26.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…b17abacked No | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 52c | 25.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 40c | 25.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 42c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 52c | 24.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…e362backed No | 61c | 23.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 56c | 21.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 48c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.