Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d5ad9cc653789fce67e50d82f85555b706f617712c91261859fbc1db3db2e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 44c | 1,818$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.11 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 1,277$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.62 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 381.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 358.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 26c | 321.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 273.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 79c | 269.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.7 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 257.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 70c | 254.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 42c | 243.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 17c | 229.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 222.38$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…169dbacked No | 52c | 207.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 206.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 130.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 79c | 128.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 126.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed No | 79c | 125.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 79c | 121.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 22c | 116.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 115.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 25c | 115.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 78c | 113.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 28c | 107.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 24c | 107.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 24c | 100.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 77c | 100.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…9762backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 40c | 99.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 65c | 95.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 94.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7047…31b3backed Yes | 24c | 94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 13c | 93.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…3480backed Yes | 24c | 82.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 33c | 76.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 77c | 71.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 78c | 66.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 66c | 64.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 31c | 64.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 24c | 63.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed No | 19c | 60.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 181 | 6.1%11 W · 170 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed Yes | 20c | 57.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked No | 78c | 57.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 76c | 56.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 30c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 24c | 53.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 66c | 52.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 19c | 51.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 69c | 50.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 21c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 22c | 47.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 79c | 47.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 78c | 46.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 78c | 43.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 64c | 43.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…7f0fbacked Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…13b5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 69c | 39.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 35c | 33.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 78c | 32.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 75c | 31.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 66c | 30.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 70c | 29.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 68c | 27.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…9d0abacked No | 70c | 26.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 78c | 25.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 78c | 24.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 78c | 21.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 75c | 21.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 71c | 20.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…cfb1backed No | 77c | 19.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed No | 69c | 18.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 18.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…e40ebacked No | 78c | 18.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 16.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 69c | 15.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 79c | 13.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.