Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ea1834ce878b6ac554f0c84fe5a54ea39fcd7e7c5eeac1220772d8c006c2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 3c | 4,848$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 3c | 4,783$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 5c | 1,156$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked No | 3c | 999.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 9c | 933.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 10c | 897.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 894$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 32c | 866.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked No | 2c | 817.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 26c | 774.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.51 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 59c | 636.81$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.06 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 24c | 629.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.79 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 30c | 627.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 20c | 601.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 546$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 4c | 475.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 26c | 441.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 415.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 394$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 54c | 353.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 33c | 332.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 325.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 30c | 299.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 5c | 293.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 25c | 285.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 6c | 276.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 27c | 264.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 36c | 259.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 64c | 258.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 243$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 74c | 233$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 219.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…94e5backed No | 63c | 217.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 48c | 217.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 209$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 205.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 34c | 191.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 24c | 187.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.17 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 49c | 187.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 27c | 184.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 72c | 183.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 58c | 175.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…f6c8backed Yes | 29c | 172.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 68c | 170.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 66c | 166.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 66c | 162.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 71c | 160.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 159.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 21c | 154.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 153.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 67c | 151.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 150.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 150.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 39c | 143.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 141.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 66c | 134.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…42a2backed No | 79c | 129.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 32c | 125.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 62c | 125.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 18c | 124.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 122.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 61c | 120.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 28c | 118$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 35c | 116.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 74c | 116.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 63c | 114.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 68c | 114.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 75c | 113.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 28c | 113.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed Yes | 27c | 110.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 34c | 103.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6b3fbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 26c | 97.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 26c | 96.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 95.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 75c | 92.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 92.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked No | 55c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…7870backed Yes | 29c | 86.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 33c | 85.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 28c | 85.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 32c | 85.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 53c | 85.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 29c | 83.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 82.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 29c | 78.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…7b6dbacked Yes | 34c | 77.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 26c | 76.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…072dbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 36c | 73.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 69c | 73.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed No | 14c | 73.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 35c | 71.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8124…938fbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.