Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ec92fd10d7f7c5595e9427a851cb1a2af45b8ebafbbf26ca4ee77d56cbe7fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 69c | 1,437$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.16 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 70c | 687.62$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…94e5backed Yes | 9c | 581.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 574.81$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.08 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 51c | 558.6$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 66c | 461.97$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 24c | 451.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…2888backed No | 59c | 444.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 59c | 444.08$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 30c | 435.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.01 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 45c | 428.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 408.84$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 394$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 40c | 375.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 41c | 368.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 29c | 368.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 358.01$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 31c | 333$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…f6c8backed Yes | 48c | 325.07$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…7b6dbacked Yes | 47c | 319.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 32c | 308.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 39c | 269.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 67c | 265.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 251.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…70fcbacked Yes | 41c | 250.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 243$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 43c | 241.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 31c | 225.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…66bcbacked Yes | 40c | 220.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 220$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 219.13$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 52c | 218.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 59c | 205.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 61c | 205.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 41c | 200.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 35c | 189.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 36c | 189.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 55c | 183.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 33c | 181.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 54c | 180.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…a01dbacked Yes | 56c | 180.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 48c | 171.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 49c | 170.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…1f0abacked Yes | 56c | 165.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…608dbacked No | 26c | 162.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 55c | 160.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed No | 26c | 155.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 155.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 43c | 154.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…6af1backed Yes | 75c | 149.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 43c | 146.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…3ca3backed Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 129.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 63c | 129.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 31c | 121.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 60c | 121.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 76c | 119.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 42c | 119.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 62c | 119.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 60c | 118.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 59c | 115.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 67c | 114.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…7e88backed Yes | 41c | 113.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Yes | 62c | 109.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…a336backed Yes | 51c | 109.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 38c | 104.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked No | 42c | 102.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 36c | 101.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 41c | 101.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 33c | 101$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 100.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…5009backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…acc7backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 57c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 48c | 96.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 47c | 95.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 94.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 41c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 93.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 58c | 92.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 43c | 90.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 88.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed Yes | 73c | 87.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 46c | 84.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…cb52backed Yes | 43c | 82.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 31c | 81.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…9688backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 52c | 79.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 79.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 63c | 79.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Yes | 39c | 76.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 42c | 73.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.