Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc45f161bb69c28fd0cac4d9de928544484a0357cd925a2809f0b499c41a163f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 4,982$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,340$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 10c | 3,327$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 45c | 2,269$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.09 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 74c | 1,344$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 1,005$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 44c | 846.53$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 52c | 831.98$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 58c | 403.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 18c | 310.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 36c | 291.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 52c | 260.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 21c | 256.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 230.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 47c | 213.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.53 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 208.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 37c | 182.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 47c | 156.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 29c | 142.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 78c | 101.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 79c | 100.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 46c | 98.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 60c | 87.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 31c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 36c | 59.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 57c | 54.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 34c | 53.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 63c | 43.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 41.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 35c | 33.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 61c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 37c | 27.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Under | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 51c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 1.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: AIK O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.