Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1bc898781da9b481d170cc8fc7915273eb391e466d50164dbc1dbe94efea73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…2061backed Over | 54c | 7,865$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 46c | 2,216$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…6b15backed Under | 14c | 2,011$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Over | 54c | 1,490$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 21c | 1,300$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 888.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 46c | 677.16$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 512.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 37c | 497.88$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 479$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 479$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 12c | 449.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.56 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 56c | 340$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 55c | 299.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 255.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 45c | 185.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…be69backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 56c | 179.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Under | 9c | 175.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 78c | 172.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Under | 9c | 161.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Over | 53c | 156.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 140.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Over | 56c | 133.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…ef88backed Over | 21c | 131.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 115.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Over | 12c | 114.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 53c | 105.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 102.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 14c | 87.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Over | 45c | 74.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 70.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 51c | 66.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 61.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…b7e3backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 39c | 35.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 54c | 35.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 48c | 33.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 37c | 32.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 46c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 28.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 55c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 54c | 25.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 46c | 24.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 69c | 20.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Under | 55c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: AIK O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.