Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8bf513fbe813c6556b3a53235c03c5dd9f29977776abfa29db047fda47f9271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 6,350$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.91 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,994$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.89 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 37c | 3,544$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.45 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 2,744$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.93 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 1,850$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.74 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,586$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.42 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 75c | 1,052$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.27 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 949.07$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.09 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…b9f8backed Under | 49c | 808.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 72c | 694.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 693.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 53c | 649.96$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 35c | 644.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 393.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 379.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 27c | 338.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 253.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…9e9bbacked Over | 73c | 206.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 205.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 74c | 185.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 173.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 29c | 129.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 60c | 115.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 112.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 26c | 93.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 29c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 52c | 73.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 43c | 49.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 28c | 40.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Over | 35c | 36.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…e67fbacked Over | 34c | 35.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 56c | 32.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 30.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…6a61backed Under | 43c | 29.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 72c | 29.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 27.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 27.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 69c | 27.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 26.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 74c | 22.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 59c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 64c | 17.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 72c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.