Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0deee0cf6adb025a4ceb4a33856239f31be837a7a550e3648f1ebff64be935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 3c | 15,568$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 10c | 4,840$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.82 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,613$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 7c | 3,132$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 1c | 2,563$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +1,035.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 6c | 1,660$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 12c | 1,037$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 9c | 781.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 4c | 713.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 6c | 712.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 9c | 510.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 7c | 319.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 7c | 273.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 7c | 240.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 7c | 230.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 7c | 200.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 7c | 176.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.