TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yunnan Yukun FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Yunnan Yukun FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,463 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC28c1,486$416 inLost-$415.71,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad3a…ae94backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC28c527.45$150 inLost-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC5c524.01$28 inLost-$28.175,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yunnan Yukun FC80c338.51$271 inWon+$67.742,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yunnan Yukun FC74c236.98$175 inWon+$61.5470842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yunnan Yukun FC71c164.38$117 inWon+$47.671,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yunnan Yukun FC79c135$107 inWon+$28.3582842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yunnan Yukun FC70c120$84 inWon+$3614752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Yunnan Yukun FC72c100$72 inWon+$281770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yunnan Yukun FC72c88.93$64 inWon+$24.7112956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yunnan Yukun FC72c80$58 inWon+$22.432654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Yunnan Yukun FC70c73.6$52 inWon+$22.0817247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yunnan Yukun FC70c60.7$42 inWon+$18.212,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf18…59b6backed Yunnan Yukun FC75c58.85$44 inWon+$14.77475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC22c54.88$12 inLost-$11.8824061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yunnan Yukun FC70c50.56$35 inWon+$15.1712542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC30c50$15 inLost-$1517630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yunnan Yukun FC72c35$25 inWon+$9.820256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yunnan Yukun FC70c32.87$23 inWon+$9.8631960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Yunnan Yukun FC80c18.77$15 inWon+$3.753278.1%25 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick78cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yunnan Yukun FC68c17.5$12 inWon+$5.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Yunnan Yukun FC70c17.32$12 inWon+$5.25060%30 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.