Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85e98c60931f803ed660bac9998f441212d928163e1de7f5bd8782428922c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 4,885$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.4 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 3,114$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.78 | 868 | 43%373 W · 495 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 2,630$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.88 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…040ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 899.98$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 52c | 737$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 51c | 586$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 53c | 405.27$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 51c | 329.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Over | 28c | 299.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 61c | 251.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 55c | 247.04$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 16c | 222.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 159.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 773 | 42.6%329 W · 444 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 429 | 50.8%218 W · 211 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 64c | 122.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 244 | 59.8%146 W · 98 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 50c | 118.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 63c | 100.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 45c | 97.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 49c | 80.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 78.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 254 | 55.5%141 W · 113 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 75.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 375 | 53.6%201 W · 174 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 50c | 75.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 71.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 418 | 50.5%211 W · 207 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 17c | 65.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 60.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 246 | 61.8%152 W · 94 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…025fbacked Over | 51c | 56.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 59c | 55.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 47.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 46.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 35c | 46.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 40.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 60c | 35.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 35.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 32.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 59c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 49c | 25.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 846 | 37.4%316 W · 530 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 49c | 23.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 374 | 47.6%178 W · 196 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.