Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb36b2624bc252c65041cda578d1d038a5fad54975b47b6484e25e222e37213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 2,728$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.36 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 70c | 2,137$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 31c | 1,898$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.74 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 30c | 1,698$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.88 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 29c | 1,188$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.38 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Yes | 70c | 972.04$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 68c | 683.14$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 27c | 481.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 420$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 70c | 350.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked No | 27c | 319$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 29c | 316.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 293.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 245.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 201.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 170.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 133.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 31c | 110.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 94.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…4e0bbacked Yes | 69c | 82.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 29c | 69.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 68c | 62.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 70c | 61.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 72c | 60.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 31c | 50.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked No | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 30c | 42.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…e52dbacked Yes | 68c | 33.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 72c | 31.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 26.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Yes | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 70c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.