TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,721 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe337…4ad6backed Under1c16,196$162 inLost-$161.965750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under11c1,545$174 inLost-$174.4338749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under11c999.99$110 inLost-$11012139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under3c747.86$23 inLost-$23.2420238.6%78 W · 124 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under11c235.52$26 inLost-$26.3114310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under11c204.77$22 inLost-$22.2239549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under12c125.17$15 inLost-$15.024656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under12c125.17$15 inLost-$15.021323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under12c125.17$15 inLost-$15.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under12c125.17$15 inLost-$15.0210160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under12c125.17$15 inLost-$15.023956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under12c119.98$15 inLost-$14.542842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.