Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf348a775de737b55393a4354a0037dd74c67d9b440aa2103ecb181e31df584a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 5,235$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 18c | 4,618$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.86 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 2,606$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.66 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 25c | 1,085$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 25c | 1,028$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 27c | 661.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 77c | 519.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 500.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 74c | 394.04$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 25c | 179.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 21c | 168.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 24c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 71c | 119.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 118.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 30c | 116.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 74c | 104.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 94.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 27c | 76.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 29c | 60.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 71c | 59.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 28c | 45.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Over | 72c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 29c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Over | 73c | 34.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 72c | 31.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 71c | 31.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 75c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 26.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 24.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 70c | 20.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked Over | 73c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 71c | 17.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 70c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 71c | 14.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…9817backed Over | 75c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.