Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae3a8b7f80e85bac14766630a93f8bf7da4e91e5bcf1b4fd7aa7728eb9e7777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 14c | 8,829$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.44 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 4,192$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.87 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 3,895$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.19 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 51c | 3,067$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 2,781$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.63 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 2,753$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.55 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 49c | 2,139$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.98 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 1,597$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Under | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 659.79$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.94 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 47c | 647.83$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 555.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 79c | 552.6$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 52c | 509.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 55c | 502.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 494.17$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 424.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 47c | 423.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 22c | 409.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Under | 49c | 403.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…0901backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 35c | 378$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…fcefbacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 49c | 275.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 214.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 209.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 70c | 194.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 160.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 30c | 121.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +8.9wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 49c | 113.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 93.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 91.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 85.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 50c | 55.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Over | 62c | 54.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Over | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 28c | 40.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 48c | 38.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 50c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked Over | 52c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…ac70backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.