TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,724 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c3,517$1,544 inLost-$1,543.72,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over57c1,751$1,000 inWon+$751.167834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over52c939.22$488 inWon+$451.224242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over65c600$390 inWon+$210825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Over52c285.75$149 inWon+$137.165246.2%24 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under36c210.94$76 inLost-$75.9412639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under47c187.23$88 inLost-$882740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon+$56.2514144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over64c153.06$98 inWon+$55.12540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c121.74$46 inLost-$46.55,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c119.98$67 inLost-$66.9953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over43c110.54$48 inWon+$62.548645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under58c75.95$44 inLost-$43.6732654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c57.13$26 inWon+$31.421,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under61c53.97$33 inLost-$32.7113949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over64c50$32 inWon+$185644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2170…2883backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon+$25.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over53c41.51$22 inWon+$19.514759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over42c38.1$16 inWon+$22.13444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c38.1$22 inLost-$22.193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cba…351cbacked Under65c24.62$16 inLost-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Under57c19.99$11 inLost-$11.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.