Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6155ab8f674df9efae392147acb5324a43785a89a488f331c2e29a0595da24bd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,133 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under	19c	14,051$2,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,689.71	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	32c	11,492$3,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,725.42	193	40.9%79 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	63c	6,432$4,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,386.15	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	28c	4,592$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.96	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	68c	2,413$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.57	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	34c	2,025$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.13	2,491	40%997 W · 1,494 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	62c	1,673$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.58	2,522	42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L	+54.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over	64c	1,200$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	37c	970.9$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.22	144	29.2%42 W · 102 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	55c	892.71$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.02	892	45%401 W · 491 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	38c	769.7$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.38	196	33.2%65 W · 131 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over	75c	748.52$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.59	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	75c	690.52$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.89	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	14c	666.66$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.33	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc00…7f4bbacked Over	66c	606.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.06	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	68c	594.68$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.03	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-14.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	70c	560$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.2	260	52.7%137 W · 123 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	46c	559.98$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	197	53.8%106 W · 91 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	16c	499.92$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.93	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	46c	480.08$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.73	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	47c	450$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.5	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	65c	347.27$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.27	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	79c	318.89$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.5	86	67.4%58 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	63c	288.59$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.87	1,356	45.5%617 W · 739 L	+15.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under	79c	253.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	63c	239.01$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	57c	195.96$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.26	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+15.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	43c	190.96$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under	38c	178.11$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	9c	176.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cd…7977backed Under	67c	149.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under	53c	130$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	66c	126.23$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.48	141	44%62 W · 79 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	75c	122.62$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.62	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	15c	114.29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	143	10.5%15 W · 128 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under	47c	106.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	33c	88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	1,647	36.2%596 W · 1,051 L	-34.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	25c	86.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	261	36.8%96 W · 165 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Under	15c	76.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	20c	75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	18c	67.84$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.63	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Over	52c	66.39$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over	55c	62.27$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.02	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	17c	62.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.34	564	45.4%256 W · 308 L	-25.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd8…e4d5backed Under	19c	57.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Over	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	405	50.6%205 W · 200 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x008b…9d80backed Over	64c	46.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Under	62c	45.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50a…54c0backed Under	52c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ea…3080backed Over	48c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over	66c	44.94$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.28	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	80c	43.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76a…37c4backed Under	28c	43.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9e…9a7abacked Over	70c	42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe484…50efbacked Under	30c	42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfafb…c859backed Under	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f6a…d9c0backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d6…2942backed Under	55c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…5e20backed Over	45c	38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	39cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over	79c	36.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.71	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Over	72c	35.12$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x494b…bfbebacked Under	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x312d…f50ebacked Over	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	67c	31.39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.33	371	53.9%200 W · 171 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over	58c	28.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.14	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Under	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9199…8638backed Over	73c	24.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	51c	23.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.55	770	56.2%433 W · 337 L	+40.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over	66c	20.65$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…a78bbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over	69c	17.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	82	65.9%54 W · 28 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	74cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01e1…e40abacked Over	73c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5this page
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event