TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yunnan Yukun FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Yunnan Yukun FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,382 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Shandong Taishan FC21c3,652$775 inLost-$774.619340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Taishan FC28c1,403$389 inLost-$389.042,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yunnan Yukun FC80c1,223$978 inWon+$244.584934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Taishan FC26c1,142$297 inLost-$296.915,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yunnan Yukun FC53c998.11$529 inWon+$469.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Shandong Taishan FC20c611.76$122 inLost-$122.0638849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Shandong Taishan FC20c500$100 inLost-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Yunnan Yukun FC34c294.12$100 inWon+$194.122326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Shandong Taishan FC66c294.12$194 inLost-$194.126663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Shandong Taishan FC44c227.27$100 inLost-$1002317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yunnan Yukun FC54c200$108 inWon+$929227.2%25 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80be…7ee7backed Shandong Taishan FC42c200$84 inLost-$84714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-74.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yunnan Yukun FC78c188.4$147 inWon+$41.122,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yunnan Yukun FC60c166.67$100 inWon+$66.6714144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yunnan Yukun FC32c158.27$50 inWon+$108.276046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yunnan Yukun FC33c151.52$50 inWon+$101.5217630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yunnan Yukun FC70c88.67$62 inWon+$26.690544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Shandong Taishan FC55c87.08$48 inLost-$47.951,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Shandong Taishan FC23c86.96$20 inLost-$2033552.8%177 W · 158 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Shandong Taishan FC69c57.97$40 inLost-$408644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yunnan Yukun FC30c45.28$14 inWon+$31.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.