TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,422 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe84a…5baabacked Over31c751.02$231 inWon+$519.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c575.27$449 inLost-$448.552,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c190.32$131 inLost-$131.15,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under69c110.3$76 inLost-$76.1121144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over33c109.09$36 inWon+$73.0933452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c42.81$22 inLost-$22.2634847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c28.56$14 inWon+$14.281,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under76c15.31$12 inLost-$11.581457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.