Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130199e8692bd46733236e5c062b63e9d886c0ee2a892226b9b11b971f587714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 6c | 15,614$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.05 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 14c | 11,175$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.67 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 16c | 6,809$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.07 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 2,432$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.83 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,006$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.45 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Under | 64c | 548.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 39c | 535.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 10c | 524.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 30c | 499.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 61c | 478$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 409.62$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 33c | 300$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 31c | 278.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.21 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 270.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Under | 5c | 257.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 66c | 189.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 45c | 169.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 132.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Under | 70c | 129.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 36c | 128.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Under | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 32c | 116.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…50b7backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 65c | 98.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 82.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 66.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 77c | 63.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 60.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Under | 57c | 55.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 30c | 49.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…c859backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 71c | 32.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 37c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 70c | 23.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 72c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…ee0dbacked Under | 71c | 15.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 70c | 14.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.