TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,572 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under6c5,284$313 inLost-$313.2919340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under76c1,112$841 inLost-$840.5339649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over24c958.33$230 inWon+$728.339344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c544.5$162 inWon+$382.785,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under10c392.03$38 inLost-$37.742360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under76c371.67$283 inLost-$282.8838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c199$78 inLost-$77.611,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over27c189$51 inWon+$137.979824.5%24 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under73c189$138 inLost-$137.971,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon+$66.6733452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c165.88$63 inLost-$62.892,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over63c164.4$104 inWon+$60.835058%29 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under10c160$16 inLost-$161915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over65c154.21$100 inWon+$54.216453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over65c145.77$95 inWon+$51.032,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c105$80 inLost-$79.731,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over60c100$60 inWon+$4026052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under76c75$57 inLost-$578958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under75c37.42$28 inLost-$281735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under77c15$12 inLost-$11.557467.6%50 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.