Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e9cf413a349f1c2793545e65e568297a8275e516c08e75800a0204d86957d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunnan Yukun FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Yunnan Yukun FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Taishan FC | 43c | 2,964$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 2,295$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 787.61$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.15 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 31c | 631.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 21c | 599.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 52c | 563.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Taishan FC | 64c | 532.02$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 32c | 307.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 300.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 31c | 225$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 26c | 222.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Shandong Taishan FC | 75c | 209.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Shandong Taishan FC | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Shandong Taishan FC | 33c | 155.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 56c | 135.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 16c | 134.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 65c | 133.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 64c | 124.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…9db6backed Shandong Taishan FC | 80c | 122.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Shandong Taishan FC | 77c | 113.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 37c | 113.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…0053backed Shandong Taishan FC | 37c | 106.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Shandong Taishan FC | 35c | 81.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 81.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 30c | 66.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Taishan FC | 72c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 63c | 59.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 55.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Shandong Taishan FC | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 63c | 45.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 49c | 44.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Shandong Taishan FC | 65c | 43.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 50c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 52c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shandong Taishan FC | 35c | 37.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Shandong Taishan FC | 35c | 32.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 30.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.