TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,277 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb627…68b5backed Over51c10,760$5,488 inWon+$5,272.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c4,040$1,913 inLost-$1,912.795,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c3,760$1,842 inLost-$1,842.431,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c3,112$1,592 inWon+$1,520.041,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost-$1,22539649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost-$490944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c886.43$446 inLost-$446.482,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c591.21$277 inLost-$277.0838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c543.63$250 inLost-$250.071,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over53c446.92$237 inWon+$210.0511849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5843…db42backed Under48c445.83$214 inLost-$214425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under48c260.21$126 inLost-$125.8637153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under49c251.02$123 inLost-$1237844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7be…4b60backed Under53c200$106 inLost-$106520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c180$87 inLost-$86.853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c169.23$88 inWon+$81.232740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c138.69$71 inLost-$71.461,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over53c129.09$68 inWon+$60.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over54c110$59 inWon+$516650%33 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under41c100$41 inLost-$41.487546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over52c87.3$45 inWon+$41.977056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under29c86.2$25 inLost-$252360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under23c85.13$20 inLost-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c79.92$39 inWon+$40.781,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over72c38.11$28 inWon+$10.485058%29 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over50c35.7$18 inWon+$17.853956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under47c25$12 inLost-$11.758958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over53c25$13 inWon+$11.755644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.