TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No77c9,594$7,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.272,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes61c6,660$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.342955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No68c4,144$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.9297346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes15c3,914$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.4937446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c3,869$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.151,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No67c3,559$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.361,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c3,189$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes35c2,662$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.4820132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c2,479$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.352,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes34c1,933$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.864151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes31c1,244$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.698549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c1,054$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.392,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes32c1,007$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6714245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No67c929.73$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.032,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c839.39$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes61c820.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No53c817.18$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.722835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c815.33$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c643.46$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.253,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No64c617.09$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.539056.7%51 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c609.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.396456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Yes78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes35c500.85$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.534643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0318444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed No60c494.29$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.721060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes18c484.76$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.915621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No67c448.45$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9755545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c433.82$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.131,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No68c426.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6214654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Yes60c401.95$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes33c394.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6318449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes59c346.01$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8138047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes37c329.05$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No37c322.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No67c318.93$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes27c308$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.161,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No63c265.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.519451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Yes21c264.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x834f…f38ebacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.46726.9%18 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes34c227$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.181625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No45c214.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7415628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb20d…83aebacked Yes36c199.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes35c197.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6912242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No64c184.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.17157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c183.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.941,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes27c174.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No39c158$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No64c155.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.324866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes61c148.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes11c142.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2145135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Yes70c139.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Yes35c124$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.321323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes33c123.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.545149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No79c122.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.623724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No78c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6233446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes35c98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.337043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No80c96.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d03…9d52backed Yes62c88.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…5b41backed Yes62c87.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes13c86.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2414241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No67c85.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1321840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No62c84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No67c80.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7216045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes36c74.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5513839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes34c66.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.737046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddd…84f2backed No52c66.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-48.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No65c59.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No48c56.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b78…1b80backed Yes62c56.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No66c54.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8336356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No43c51.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4332436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.889753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes31c49.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2774155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1816446.3%76 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ca…f748backed Yes62c47.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed No62c47.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.923043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a7…270fbacked Yes62c47.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes33c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5231842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.537042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No61c40.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.715151%26 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d66…79cabacked Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked No32c39.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.532045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.824362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No38c37.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.343351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Yes36c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.