Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06753c7a1973cfbc6a4a0edd766360c44373a7ce355e988404bb5ef3603cc315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 2,828$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.14 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,082$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.51 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 1,041$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 27c | 1,013$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,007$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.28 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 912.85$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 73c | 788.77$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 617.13$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 17c | 575.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Yes | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 491.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked No | 71c | 475.95$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 64c | 459$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 442.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Yes | 80c | 416.36$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 71c | 397.18$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 394.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 77c | 297$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 266.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 62c | 236.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 30c | 202.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Yes | 66c | 176.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 72c | 171$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 37c | 167.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 23c | 166.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 162.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 159.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 147.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 145.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 21c | 139.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 59c | 119$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 12c | 87.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 84.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed No | 71c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 71.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 71c | 63.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 62.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 23c | 58.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d29…2748backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Yes | 18c | 55.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Yes | 19c | 52.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 52.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed Yes | 39c | 49.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 80c | 44.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 55c | 30.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 70c | 25.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed No | 75c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
- Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.