Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d94de89aef8c211358c45a4a9c471be386374c926bad1814ab761d030d2a9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 6,893$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.4 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 2c | 4,957$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.31 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 16c | 2,085$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.34 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 3c | 955.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.56 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +688.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 9c | 760.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.93 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 64c | 744.88$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.37 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 62c | 715.22$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 79c | 560.96$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 459.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 60c | 413.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 3c | 409.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +1,035.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 362.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 356$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 62c | 247.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 67c | 245.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 60c | 217.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 19c | 195.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 39c | 163$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2352backed Over | 65c | 154.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 20c | 131.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 118.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 19c | 110.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 110.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 28c | 106.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 65c | 89.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 39c | 68.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…eef8backed Over | 44c | 63.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 57c | 58.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…ae53backed Over | 60c | 57.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 39c | 48.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…cd80backed Under | 34c | 42.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 38.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 31c | 35.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…6df0backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Over | 69c | 34.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 40c | 29.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…405cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.