Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe85b40f4eadcb81e38b734dc27f5cb410b01bda9f936ee99bafa87448b397ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 22c | 7,643$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.52 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 74c | 4,077$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 3,344$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.81 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,332$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.62 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 2,613$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.08 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 41c | 1,966$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 869.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.36 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 21c | 760.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 685.96$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.13 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 244$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 59c | 215.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 74c | 184.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Under | 60c | 165.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 34c | 132$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 76c | 102.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 100.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 87.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 74c | 83.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 76.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 69.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…75e5backed Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…e666backed Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 63.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 26c | 63.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…9af9backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…7fc0backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3bebbacked Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…e572backed Over | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…44f7backed Under | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…6a98backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 40.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 40c | 39.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…2347backed Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…68e2backed Under | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 36.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 40c | 33.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 26.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 20.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 70c | 18.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.