Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373cb6a11f55be7b85b0e33326c8423e90f5c43d31b78cde0c28e6c6e3d2eb32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 6,496$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 4,978$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.28 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 4,874$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.37 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 1,372$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 37c | 937.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.57 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 75c | 732.98$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.77 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 663.31$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 62c | 322.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 4c | 320.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 315.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 249.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Over | 59c | 223.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 55c | 201.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 49c | 175.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 59c | 169.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 169.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 68c | 167.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 61c | 165.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 35c | 147$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Over | 63c | 144.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 113.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 76c | 108$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 41c | 104.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 95.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 65c | 84.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 30c | 83.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 78.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 77.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 74.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 53c | 73.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 37c | 69.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…a6d6backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…0456backed Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 35c | 54.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…2036backed Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…c4e1backed Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…4f34backed Under | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 46.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…be63backed Under | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…25a9backed Over | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 37c | 44.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…4e96backed Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 79c | 38.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 63c | 31.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 60c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 41c | 26.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 24.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 63c | 22.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 51c | 22.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 18.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.