Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833a0d2e62f2bc091759cf9a88cbc06277848b5a9e112a5f2f9aefce0a608ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Tieren FCof Dalian Yingbo FC, Liaoning Tieren FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 60c | 1,859$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.32 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 43c | 1,665$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.63 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 39c | 636.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 40c | 223.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 62c | 131.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 63c | 116.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 63c | 109.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 85.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 42c | 71.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 65c | 61.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 60c | 52.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 49.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 45.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 42.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…c4cbbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 47c | 34.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 58c | 30.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 60c | 28.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 44c | 27.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 63c | 26.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 57c | 22.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 58c | 19.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.