Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1feb0474739e1ee5ed89dc0706d39b405842a56c6c5089510cd034e9543ba567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 1,245$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 19c | 826$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 693.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 554.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Over | 8c | 215.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 137.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf752…101cbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 74.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Under | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 25c | 41.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 79c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.