Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa27ddff179a0925b9a5d1cb4c264f8f6c501429be024f7874ba203b617867cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 4,517$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 75c | 3,887$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.44 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 27c | 3,709$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,044$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.65 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 566.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 533.39$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.68 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 434$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Yes | 49c | 349.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 68c | 294.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 291.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 257.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 41c | 256.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 51c | 249.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 201$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 154.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 30c | 147.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 20c | 132.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 128.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 45c | 111.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 100.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 27c | 81.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 80.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 23c | 77.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 15c | 76.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 13cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed No | 75c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes | 38c | 66.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 23c | 65.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 58.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 50.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 48.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 45.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 77c | 26.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…c83ebacked Yes | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 75c | 13.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.