Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805bcaac954252c99f624c976469a983f93455225188bd70272cdf522ea49c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe01b…ba4bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,708$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 1c | 1,920$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,804$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.38 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 305.27$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 38c | 237$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 201.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 173.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…10ebbacked Yes | 13c | 173.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…6648backed Yes | 34c | 104.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 33c | 91.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed No | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 19c | 77.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 63c | 67.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…09d2backed Yes | 29c | 57.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…2a75backed Yes | 33c | 57.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 76c | 55.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes | 38c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 37c | 32.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 29.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 65c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 63c | 21.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 64c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.