TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No68c5,795$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c5,625$3,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.2534239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c3,403$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.0541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes32c3,007$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.75825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c2,673$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3726737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c1,112$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No80c768.34$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.679950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c713.77$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No77c690.24$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.035955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes20c614.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes20c500.6$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1215946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4c…2cf2backed No80c478$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+97.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c454.49$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes19c444.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.424942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes20c356.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c353.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes11c303.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No73c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2914442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes22c189.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c182.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No69c169.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.313953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes12c162.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes19c161.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No78c161.43$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.245244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes12c158.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19c…a6debacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c150.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5141854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No79c117.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6815050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No70c100.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3621748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5983…3b92backed Yes20c100.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc407…0875backed Yes17c93.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Yes12c93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes30c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.414651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes31c84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272025%5 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes19c80.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2210451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes20c78.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No65c77.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.052035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes21c73.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156050%30 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No67c72.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.034835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No66c72.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.682142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No53c71.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.647964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No66c69.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.685058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No77c68.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No68c58.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No79c54.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.512153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c54.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e6…5d86backed No56c51.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes34c50.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f7…aef9backed No77c49.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No70c48.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.541866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked No63c45.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes43c40.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.553450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes32c40.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked No64c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked No56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked No64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.37556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c27.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c26.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.122962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c22.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.920749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No76c21.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.242948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No68c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.725052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No71c20.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.812259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.823353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c18.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No68c17.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.584553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed No73c16.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked No77c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.484163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed No80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+94.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.