Fifa International · resolved market
Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3519164b83bc99515926d76aec92d8ce32ce81e8c5f886e05574a2e562ba8a5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 7c | 22,915$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.28 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 64c | 1,764$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.48 | 28 | 96.4%27 W · 1 L | +6.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +40%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed No | 54c | 1,665$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.88 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.25per pick | 27cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 849.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 4c | 715.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 15c | 635.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed No | 74c | 561.89$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 54c | 389.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 360.06$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…961cbacked Yes | 77c | 276.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…9b12backed Yes | 17c | 259.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 11c | 251.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 6c | 226$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 10c | 196.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 53c | 188.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 73c | 165.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…b339backed Yes | 17c | 162.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…5796backed Yes | 54c | 152.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 111.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 52c | 109.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 13c | 107.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 106.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 48c | 104.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 100.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 15c | 94.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 28c | 85.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 79.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 36c | 67.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 32c | 55.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 34c | 52.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 59c | 51.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 39c | 50.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 39c | 44.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 35c | 34.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 71c | 29.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…e114backed No | 58c | 21.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 67c | 20.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…7acdbacked Yes | 68c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…acabbacked Yes | 73c | 14.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29?this page
- Will IR Iran vs. Gambia end in a draw?No won
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.