Fifa International · resolved market
Will IR Iran vs. Gambia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7512e3a9dc7857d144cce740bfcaf1272c5eb3fa2c2f0d9ea57833d67d8195f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 2,014$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 854.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 13c | 745.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 688.85$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 22c | 572.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 22c | 422.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 21c | 326.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 21c | 326.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 72c | 246.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 190.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 166.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…ed7ebacked Yes | 23c | 122.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 19c | 104.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 21c | 100.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 29c | 84.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 33c | 79.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 32c | 75.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 66.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 38c | 65.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 18c | 63.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 67c | 59.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 70c | 58.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 26c | 58.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 34c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 33c | 52.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 76c | 49.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 78c | 43.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 34.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe67e…5d86backed Yes | 33c | 33.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 30.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 79c | 29.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Yes | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…6f45backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IR Iran vs. Gambia end in a draw?this page
- Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29?No won
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.