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Asian League · resolved market

Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No49c6,381$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.352,58540%1,035 W · 1,550 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Yes40c4,584$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes65c2,965$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.912286.4%19 W · 3 L+6.7wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+86.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes34c2,005$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.0925123.1%58 W · 193 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c1,953$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.616,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.749851%50 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9618553.5%99 W · 86 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9912050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.081963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No70c910$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63717957.5%103 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c699.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9813154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes31c699.95$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.973441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No70c599.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9917347.4%82 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No69c500$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.764757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked No22c465.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.274938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No39c402.9$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0727639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014553.8%78 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c399.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9821953%116 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c365.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9885447.9%409 W · 445 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Yes62c320.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016355.2%90 W · 73 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No70c259.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9814452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No70c259.94$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9615151%77 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes30c253.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6330149.5%149 W · 152 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes30c244.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3419856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No69c211.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1615045.3%68 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes34c178.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.724932.7%16 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No69c175.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1116856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c169.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.921,79650.2%902 W · 894 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes30c169.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9114058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c169.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9140156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No70c159.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9912752.8%67 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No70c156$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.215253.9%82 W · 70 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No70c155.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1918256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No63c151$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9613655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes30c149.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.779750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No71c143.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6254354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No70c139.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9916154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed No69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes31c114.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0130464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c107.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.473850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c104.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.481,81850.4%917 W · 901 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes46c102.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016856.5%95 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013753.3%73 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes32c99.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9912635.7%45 W · 81 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes30c90.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3311151.4%57 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.151735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c83.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610356.3%58 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No38c74.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.423052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…77dbbacked Yes30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9719048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No68c68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5736142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6724656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes77c65.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes25c63.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.644141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes30c61.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.178256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes31c60.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.825058%29 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes28c57.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.142450%12 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+52.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No46c56.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.932457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No32c56.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1283853.7%450 W · 388 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7931549.8%157 W · 158 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes68c48.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.333966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Yes31c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1211759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes30c42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f11…7031backed Yes75c39.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+77.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No57c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.235543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes30c39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.342350.8%215 W · 208 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes31c38.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c38.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511,65650.8%841 W · 815 L+3.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes68c37.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0525748.2%124 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes28c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+54.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec9d…1fa4backed Yes75c33.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb148…86c4backed Yes74c32.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No52c30.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8616252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No69c25.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5715240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No63c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2540256.2%226 W · 176 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No66c17.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5616759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.214349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3515349%75 W · 78 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.