Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098272d9378fa82cd8a9360b533f4e95ab2cbe902e4c47dcef05e9364d0028e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 4,200$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.54 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,037$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.65 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,044$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 72c | 1,221$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.24 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed No | 72c | 1,010$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 77c | 699.98$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 28c | 685.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.11 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 76c | 499.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 433.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 72c | 222.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 205.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 20c | 187.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 78c | 182.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 163.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 77c | 155.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 147.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 23c | 137.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 25c | 117.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 13c | 116.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 98.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…58dfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 26c | 95.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 87.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…0d74backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 74.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 63.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 30c | 62.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 32c | 60.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 30c | 59.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 25c | 51.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 76c | 47.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 72c | 44.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 39.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 39.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 77c | 34.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…e7b8backed No | 73c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.