TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Liege: Lorenzo Giustino vs Miguel Damas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lorenzo Giustinoof Lorenzo Giustino, Miguel Damas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Lorenzo Giustino53c94,515$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,514.6817837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Lorenzo Giustino61c33,780$20,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,119.581,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Damas42c33,581$13,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,974.148,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Miguel Damas47c13,820$6,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,491.53,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Damas41c10,917$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.0111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Damas45c9,951$4,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.366,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Miguel Damas41c7,087$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.121,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Miguel Damas42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Miguel Damas42c4,984$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.332,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Miguel Damas23c4,754$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10014246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miguel Damas38c4,631$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.298,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked Lorenzo Giustino65c4,603$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.036446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Lorenzo Giustino77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.162956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Lorenzo Giustino52c3,863$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.6874439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Miguel Damas29c3,831$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.884515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Miguel Damas10c3,525$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.953221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Miguel Damas33c2,888$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.1325854.3%140 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Lorenzo Giustino73c2,514$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.2731253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Lorenzo Giustino79c2,152$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9621567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Miguel Damas46c2,008$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.993,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Lorenzo Giustino60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80033256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Miguel Damas46c1,950$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89762140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Miguel Damas42c1,893$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Miguel Damas42c1,705$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3529754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Miguel Damas42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Miguel Damas41c1,464$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Lorenzo Giustino73c1,440$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.42356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Miguel Damas48c1,181$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56451457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Miguel Damas34c1,160$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.34,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Damas54c1,117$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.84,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Miguel Damas48c1,083$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8447651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Miguel Damas48c1,082$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3636154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Miguel Damas48c1,061$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.2830353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Miguel Damas48c1,050$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.729151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Miguel Damas48c1,045$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2132952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Miguel Damas48c1,037$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7631856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Miguel Damas48c1,014$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.7228852.8%152 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Miguel Damas48c1,007$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1629554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Miguel Damas48c1,006$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8336954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Miguel Damas48c1,002$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9644552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Lorenzo Giustino60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Miguel Damas48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48046155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Miguel Damas48c996$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3333855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Miguel Damas48c981$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8853657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Miguel Damas48c978$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.4446957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Miguel Damas48c940$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.252355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Miguel Damas45c898$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.24,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Miguel Damas48c894$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.1231855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Lorenzo Giustino60c891.57$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.611,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Miguel Damas48c889.35$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8949658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Damas45c833.25$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.318,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Miguel Damas48c816.9$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1143054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Miguel Damas42c804.21$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.952,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Lorenzo Giustino58c765.58$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9629443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Miguel Damas44c654.12$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.432,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Miguel Damas16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa128…397fbacked Miguel Damas32c612.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Lorenzo Giustino74c594.57$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8836554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lorenzo Giustino69c501.89$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.672,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Lorenzo Giustino59c488.83$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7722245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Miguel Damas47c405.68$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.162,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea7…41d3backed Lorenzo Giustino62c350.11$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.044847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Miguel Damas32c333$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.342,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Lorenzo Giustino62c319.39$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5237262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Lorenzo Giustino64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.535164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe14…1394backed Miguel Damas34c293.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Miguel Damas45c276.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.785,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Miguel Damas39c273.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.674,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Miguel Damas38c266.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.122,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Lorenzo Giustino75c264.82$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.311,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Lorenzo Giustino60c250.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.081,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Miguel Damas38c242.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.093,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Miguel Damas24c229.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0685742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Miguel Damas37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Lorenzo Giustino58c196.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4330251.3%155 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Lorenzo Giustino50c194.66$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.337338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Miguel Damas21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7475…fc7ebacked Miguel Damas24c185.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5510339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Miguel Damas39c183$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Miguel Damas43c180.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.411,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Lorenzo Giustino78c174$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.287374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Lorenzo Giustino79c151.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9616469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Miguel Damas27c133.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.35558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb2e…8895backed Miguel Damas23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Lorenzo Giustino77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Miguel Damas8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Miguel Damas42c121.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Lorenzo Giustino62c120.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9514150.4%71 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Miguel Damas31c119.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.151,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Miguel Damas42c113.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.957,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Miguel Damas56c104$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.241,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Miguel Damas37c103.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.751445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Lorenzo Giustino77c103.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0124159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Lorenzo Giustino55c100.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9953736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Miguel Damas50c100.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Miguel Damas48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Lorenzo Giustino53c96.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1644949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Miguel Damas41c95.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.051,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Miguel Damas42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Miguel Damas22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.822046.8%103 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.